Jane chooses a number X at random from

Harrison Kikuyu

Harrison Kikuyu

Answered question

2022-05-08

Jane chooses a number X at random from the set of numbers
{1, 2, 3, 4}, so that
P(X = k) =
1
4
for k = 1, 2, 3, 4.
She then chooses a number Y at random from the subset of
numbers {X, ...,
4
}; for example, if
X = 3, then Y is chosen at
random from {
3,
4}
.
(i) Find the joint probability distribution of X and Y and display
it in the form of a two-way table.
[5 marks]
(ii) Find the marginal probability distribution of Y , and hence
find E(Y ) and V ar(Y ).
[4 marks]
(iii) Show that Cov(X, Y ) = 5/8.
[4 marks]
(iv) Find the probability distribution of U = X + Y . [7

Answer & Explanation

Jazz Frenia

Jazz Frenia

Skilled2023-05-05Added 106 answers

We are given that Jane chooses a number X at random from the set of numbers {1,2,3,4}, and P(X=k)=14 for k=1,2,3,4. We are also given that she chooses a number Y at random from the subset of numbers {X,...,4}.
To find the joint probability distribution of X and Y, we need to calculate P(X=i,Y=j) for all i and j. We can do this by considering all possible values of X and Y.
If X=1, then Y can be either 1, 2, 3, or 4. Since Y is chosen uniformly at random from {1,2,3,4}, we have
P(X=1,Y=j)=P(Y=j|X=1)P(X=1)=14·14=116.
Similarly, if X=2, then Y can be either 2, 3, or 4, so
P(X=2,Y=j)=P(Y=j|X=2)P(X=2)=13·14=112.
If X=3, then Y can be either 3 or 4, so
P(X=3,Y=j)=P(Y=j|X=3)P(X=3)=12·14=18.
Finally, if X=4, then Y can only be 4, so
P(X=4,Y=4)=P(Y=4|X=4)P(X=4)=1·14=14.
Therefore, the joint probability distribution of X and Y is given by the following two-way table:
Y=1Y=2Y=3Y=4X=1116116116116X=20112112112X=3001818X=400014
And we can verify that the sum of all the probabilities in the table is 1.

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