I am looking at the specification for my exam that is coming up and these are three sections: A) Construct symmetric confidence intervals for the mean of a normal distribution with known variance. B) Construct symmetric confidence intervals from large samples, for the mean of a normal distribution with unknown variance. C) Construct symmetric confidence intervals from small samples, for the mean of a normal distribution with unknown variance using the t -distribution.

Madelynn Winters

Madelynn Winters

Answered question

2022-09-23

Confidence Intervals (A level)
Firstly let me apologise for asking this question on here - I see this as getting a sledgehammer to crack a nut, but I have nobody else that I can ask for advice on this topic.
I'm an A level Mathematics student so please forgive me for lack of/poor notation that you may normally come to expect/be familiar with.
I am looking at the specification for my exam that is coming up and these are three sections:
A) Construct symmetric confidence intervals for the mean of a normal distribution with known variance
B) Construct symmetric confidence intervals from large samples, for the mean of a normal distribution with unknown variance.
C) Construct symmetric confidence intervals from small samples, for the mean of a normal distribution with unknown variance using the t -distribution.

Answer & Explanation

Marvin Hughes

Marvin Hughes

Beginner2022-09-24Added 6 answers

Step 1
The difference between B and C is in the choice of critical value. A typical symmetric confidence interval for a location parameter has the form
point estimate ± critical value × standard error ,
where in turn
standard error = standard deviation sample size ,
and
critical value × standard error = margin of error .
The choice of critical value is informed by the nature of the sampling distribution. When a normally distributed population has unknown variance, the sampling distribution of the mean is Student's t-distributed; however, when the sample size is large, the difference in critical values is negligible; i.e.,
lim ν t ν , α = z α ,
where t ν , α is the upper α quantile of the Student's t distribution with ν degrees of freedom, and z α is the upper α quantile of the standard normal distribution. So for scenario B, you will use z α / 2 for a two-sided CI with large sample size as an approximation; for scenario C, you will use t ν , α / 2 for the critical value.
Step 2
The difference between A and B lies in the standard deviation. In scenario A, it is presumed to be known, thus the standard error will use the population standard deviation σ in the numerator. In scenario B, it is unknown, thus you will use the unbiased estimator of the standard deviation
s = 1 n 1 i = 1 n ( x i x ¯ ) 2 .
In practice, the factor of n 1 rather than n makes little difference when n is large as in this case. But in scenario C, as σ is also unknown and must be estimated from the sample, you must use n 1, otherwise your CI will not have the required coverage probability even if you correctly use the t-distribution quantile for the critical value.

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