A heavy equipment can break down for many possible reasons,two of which are human error. For a given construction project,it is known that

coexpennan

coexpennan

Answered question

2021-09-22

A heavy equipment can break down for many possible reasons, two of which are human error and engine
failure, For a given construction project, it is known that:
The probability of engine failure is 0.008.
© The probability of human error is 0.001. e Given engine failure, the probability of heavy equipment break down is 0.98. ¢ Given human error, the probability of heavy equipment break down is 0.45. e Given any other reason of failure, the probability of heavy equipment break down is zero. Determine the probability that a heavy equipment breaks down.

Answer & Explanation

Macsen Nixon

Macsen Nixon

Skilled2021-09-23Added 117 answers

The probability of engine failure is,
P(engine failure)=0.008
The probability of human error is,
P(human error)=0.001
The probability of heavy equipment breakdown when engine fails is,
P(breakdown|engine failure)=0.98
The probability of heavy equipment breakdown when human error is,
P(breakdown|human error)=0.450
The probability of heavy equipment breakdown when other reason is,
P(other reason)=0
Step 2
The probability of heavy equipment breakdown is,
P(breakdown)=P(breakdown|human error)×P(human error)+P(breakdown|engine fails)×P(engine fails)
0.45×0.001+0.98×0.0080.00045+0.007840.00829
Hence, the probability of breakdown is 0.00829 or 0.829%

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