A Bernoulli process has 4 trials and probability of success

preprekomW

preprekomW

Answered question

2021-09-19

A Bernoulli process has 4 trials and probability of success 0.31. Find the following probabilities.
1. Exactly 2 successes.
2. Exactly 2 failures.
3. At most 1 success.
4. At least 1 success.
5. At least 1 success and 1 failure.

Answer & Explanation

Nicole Conner

Nicole Conner

Skilled2021-09-20Added 97 answers

Step 1
Given Information:
A Bernoulli process has 4 trials and probability of success is 0.31.
A sequence of Bernoulli trials is the binomial probability.
The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials and X can only have two outcomes.
Formula:
P(X=x)=nCxpx(1p)nx
We have n=4 and p=0.31
(1) Exactly 2 successes:
Required probability is obtained as follows:
P(X=2)=4C2(0.31)2(10.31)42 NKS =4!2!(42)!×0.0961×0.4761
=4×3×2!2×1×2!×0.04575321
=6×0.04575321
=0.27451926
0.2745
Step 2
(2) Exactly 2 failures:
This is 2 failures and 42=2 successes.
Required probability is obtained as follows:
P(X=2)=4C2(0.31)2(10.31)42
=4!2!(42)!×0.0961×0.4761
=4×3×2!2×1×2!×0.04575321
=6×0.04575321
=0.27451926
0.2745
(3) At most 1 success:
Required probability is obtained as follows:
P(X1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)
=4C0(0.31)0(10.31)40+4C1(0.31)1(10.31)41
=4!0!(40)!×1×0.22667121+4!1!(41)!×0.31×0.328509
=1×1×0.22667121+4×0.10183779
=0.63402237
0.6340
Note:
Since, there are multiple subparts, we have solved first three parts for you. To get remaining subparts solved, please repost the complete question and mention the parts to be solved.

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