opatovaL
2021-09-25
Jaylen Fountain
Skilled2021-09-26Added 169 answers
Step 1
a.It is given that in exercise 8, there is 0.5% chance that the drivers have an at-fault accident during a given year. In the city, the company insures 1,355 drivers.
Properties of Bernoulli trials:
In each trial there will be only two possible outcomes, success and failure.
The probability of success for each trial is same.
Each trial is independent to each other.
10% condition for Bernoulli trials:
If the sample size is less than 10% of the population size, then is can be said that the Bernoulli trials must be independent.
Binomial probability for Bernoulli trials:
The number of successes in a specified number of Bernoulli trials is described by Binomial model.
If the number of trials is n, with the probability of success is p and the probability of failure is
Step 2
With mean is
It is denoted by
Let X be the number of at-fault accidents.
Checking the Bernoulli properties:
In this problem there are only two possible outcome that accident and no accident. Hence 1st condition is satisfied.
The probability that the drivers have an at-fault accident during a given year is
It can be assumed that 1,355 drivers is less than 10% of the whole population of drivers.
Hence, using 10% condition rule, the independence condition is also satisfied.
Hence, the condition of drivers can be considered as Bernoulli trials.
Hence, the distribution of number of at-fault accidents follows Binom(1,355,0.005).
Mean:
Standard deviation:
Hence, the mean and the standard deviation of the number who may have at-fault accidents are 6.775 and 2.6.
Step 3
b. Normal approximation from Binomial distribution:
The success and failure condition:
If
Checking success and failure condition:
Here,
Hence, the success and failure condition is not satisfied.
Hence, the distribution of number of accidents cannot be explained by Normal model.
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