A specific article is produced by machines M_{1}, M_{2}, M_{3}\ and

Tomasettiq3

Tomasettiq3

Answered question

2021-11-14

A specific article is produced by machines M1,M2,M3 and M4. The probability that a random article is produced by M1,M2 and M3 is 0.2, 0.3 and 0.1 respectively, The probability for each machine to produce defective articles is given as M1=0.03,M2=0.02,M3=0.04 and M4=0.01. What is the probability that a random article was by M4, given that it is non-defective?

Answer & Explanation

Alfonso Miller

Alfonso Miller

Beginner2021-11-15Added 20 answers

Step 1
Given,
Probability of articles produced
M1=0.2
M2=0.3
M3=0.1
M4=1(0.2+0.3+0.1)=0.4
Probability of machine produce defective
MD1=0.03
MD2=0.02
MD3=0.04
MD4=0.01
Step 2
Probability that a random article was made by M4 Given that it is non defective
Probability =Probability of machine 4 and non defectiveProbability of non defective
Probability =0.40.990.990.4+0.960.1+0.980.3+0.970.2
Probability =0.3960.396+0.096+0.294+0.194
Probability =0.3960.98
Probability =0.4041

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