The probability of a day being sunny, rainy and snowy are 0.5, 0.4 and

Grady Turner

Grady Turner

Answered question

2021-11-13

The probability of a day being sunny, rainy and snowy are 0.5, 0.4 and 0.1, respectively. The probability of a huge thunderstorm happening are 0.1, 0.7 and 0.2, given the day is sunny, rainy and snowy, respectively. Suppose a huge thunderstorm has taken place.
a. What is the probability that the day was sunny?
b. What is the probability that the day was rainy?

Answer & Explanation

giskacu

giskacu

Beginner2021-11-14Added 22 answers

Step 1
Given Information:
P(Sunny)=0.5
P(Rainy)=0.4
P(Snowy)=0.1
P(ThunderstormSunny)=0.1
P(ThunderstormRainy)=0.7
P(ThunderstormSnowy)=0.2
Suppose there was a severe thunderstorm.
(a) To calculate the likelihood that the day was sunny:
Conditional probability is given by the formula:
P(AB)=P(A  and  B}{P(B)} 
P(A  and  B)=P(AB).P(B)
Required probability is obtained as follows:
P(Sunny and Thunderstorm)=P(Thunderstorm || Sunny). P(Sunny)
=0.1×0.5
=0.05
Step 2
(b) Suppose a huge thunderstorm has taken place. To find the probability that the day was rainy:
Required probability is obtained as follows:
P(Sunny and Thunderstorm)=P(Thunderstorm || Sunny). P(Sunny)
=0.7×0.4
=0.28

Do you have a similar question?

Recalculate according to your conditions!

New Questions in High school probability

Ask your question.
Get an expert answer.

Let our experts help you. Answer in as fast as 15 minutes.

Didn't find what you were looking for?