Binomial or Uniform Probability?What is the probability of rolling exactly two sixes in 7 rolls of a die?I know this is a binomial probability. P ( X = 2 ) = ( 7 2 ) ( 1 / 6 ) 2 ( 5 / 6 ) 5 .By the definition of probability formula "Probability formula is the ratio of number of favorable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes." Then why probability of rolling exactly two sixes in 7 rolls of a die isn't = 2 / 42? The denominator is 42 because in one die there are 6 faces, and in 7 rolls of a die, there are 7 × 6 = 42 faces.

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Binomial or Uniform Probability?What is the probability of rolling exactly two sixes in 7 rolls of a die?I know this is a binomial probability.  P  (  X  =  2  )  =                    (                    7      2                      )              (  1      /    6      )    2    (  5      /    6      )    5  .By the definition of probability formula &quot;Probability formula is the ratio of number of favorable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes.&quot; Then why probability of rolling exactly two sixes in 7 rolls of a die isn&#039;t   =  2      /    42? The denominator is 42 because in one die there are 6 faces, and in 7 rolls of a die, there are   7  ×  6  =  42 faces.

efterynzl · Accepted Answer

Step 1The total number of possible outcomes is       6    7  . In each try we have 6 possibilities, and we repeat it for 7 times. So       6    7   in denomerator.Step 2The number of favorable outcomes is                     (                    7      2                      )                  5    5  . To see why, consider one of the cases such as 66?????, where each ? can have 5 possibilities. So for this specific selection of the order of the two six, we have       5    5   possibilities. There are                     (                    7      2                      )             possibilities for selecting the positions of the two 6.The probability is therefore                                          (                                    7          2                                      )                                      5        5                    6      7

Zachariah Norris · Accepted Answer

Step 1Define       X          1        ,      X          2        ,  …  ,      X          7       as Bernoulli random variables, such that       X          i        =  1 when the ith die lands 6 and       X          i        =  0 otherwise. Let   X  =      ∑          i      =      1              6                  X              i             be the number of sixes in 7 die rolls.Probability of X sixes in 7 rolls of a die.The number of sixes X follows binomial distribution.   X  ∼      B    i    n    o    m    i    a    l    (    7    ,    1          /        6    )  .            P      (      X      =      2      )      =                                                  (                                                          7                                      2                                                          )                                                            (                      1            6                    )                2                              (                      5            6                    )                5            Step 2Probability of a certain outcome, given that you land 2 sixes in 7 rolls of a die.The naive definition of probability which states that,  P  (  A  )  =            number of sample points in       A              total number of points in sample space       S      is applicable, when the sample space S is finite and the sample points are equally likely.Given that we land 2 sixes in 7 die rolls, i.e. the event   {  X  =  2  }, what is the likelihood of any particular outcome, say,  {      X          1        =  0  ,      X          2        =  1  ,      X          3        =  0  ,      X          4        =  1  ,      X          5        =  0  ,      X          6        =  0  ,      X          7        =  0  }Each such outcome occurs with equal probability. The sample space S consists of                               (                                      7                          2                                      )                      =  21 such sequences. Therefore,            P      (              X                  1                    =      0      ,              X                  2                    =      1      ,              X                  3                    =      0      ,              X                  4                    =      1      ,              X                  5                    =      0      ,              X                  6                    =      0      ,              X                  7                    =      0              |            X      =      2      )      =              1        21            Given   X  =  2, these are uniformly distributed.Note. In the strict sense of term, I have computed conditional probability above. It is   P  (  A      |    B  )  =  P  (  A  B  )      /    P  (  B  ), where   P  (  A  B  )  =  (  1      /    6      )    2    (  5      /    6      )    5   and   P  (  B  )  =                              (                                      7                          2                                      )                      (  1      /    6      )    2    (  5      /    6      )    5

Binomial or Uniform Probability? What is the probability of rolling exactly two sixes in 7 rolls of a die? I know this is a binomial probability. P(X=2)=((7),(2))(1/6)^2(5/6)^5

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