Probability of -1/4 <= sin (ax) <= 1/2?

Katelyn Reyes

Katelyn Reyes

Open question

2022-08-16

Probability of 1 4 sin ( a x ) 1 2 ?
We know that probability of having sin ( a x ) > 0 for a random x is 1 2 .
Can we say something about the probability of the following condition?
1 4 sin ( a x ) 1 2
Here, a and x are continuous and x > 0 and a > 0.

Answer & Explanation

gorilomgl

gorilomgl

Beginner2022-08-17Added 9 answers

Step 1
The function x sin ( a x ) ( < x < )
is periodic with period T := 2 π a . When we assume that x is uniformly distributed modulo T then we may assume as well that a = 1, and that x is uniformly distributed modulo 2 π.
Step 2
Draw the sin curve in the x-interval [ 0 , 2 π ] representing a full period, and measure the total length L of the subintervals where 1 4 < sin x < 1 2 . The probability p you are after then is L 2 π . In this way you obtain
p = L 2 π = 2 arcsin 1 2 + 2 arcsin 1 4 2 π = 0.247097   .

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