Given a continuous exponential growth model, say P(t)=P0ert, is it immediate that we have an exponen

Octavio Miller

Octavio Miller

Answered question

2022-01-31

Given a continuous exponential growth model, say P(t)=P0 ert, is it immediate that we have an exponential distribution?
An example I have in mind is the division of cells: Assuming continuous division with exponential growth, do we automatically know that the probability of division between t=a and t=b is eraerb or is the exponential distribution of cell division an additional assumption one must impose?

Answer & Explanation

missygouldzl

missygouldzl

Beginner2022-02-01Added 5 answers

The division rate at time t being λ(t) means that P(t+dt)=P(t)+(λ(t)dt)P(t).
Hence, for every t0,P(t)=λ(t)P(t)
and P(t)=eA(t)P0 with A(t)=t0λ(s)ds.
In your case, A(t)=rt hence λ(t)=r for every t.
In the general case, the probability that an individual cell present at time t stays undivided until time t+s is eA(t+s)+A(t).
Thus, assuming that λ(t)=r for every t, the probability that an individual cell present at time t divides before time t+s is 1esr

Frauental91

Frauental91

Beginner2022-02-02Added 15 answers

The assumption that division times are exponentially distributed results from disregarding the population's age distribution. For models of cell division that are age-structured, see Glenn Webb's publications. This models go from an ODE to a PDE, fortunately there is a characteristic line that still describes it which simplifies the solution. However the mathematics are more complicated, and do not fit in a simple ex type model.

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