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Pre-AlgebraAnswered question
veneciasp veneciasp 2022-07-12

I'm studying Pavliotis' Stochastic Processes and I am having trouble with one of the exercises.
Specifically the first exercise of chapter two is prove that the Markov property in the sense off the immediate future being independent of the past given the present, i.e. P ( X n + 1 | X 1 , , X n ) = P ( X n + 1 | X n ) implies that arbitrary futures are independent of the past given the present, i.e. P ( X n + m | X 1 , , X n ) = P ( X n + m | X n ).
Conceptually I imagine a proof using induction along the lines of: Assume the equality holds for some m, then
P ( X n + m + 1 | X 1 , , X n ) = P ( X n + m + 1 , X n + m = x | X 1 , , X n ) d x = P ( X n + m + 1 | X n + m = x ) P ( X n + m = x | X 1 , , X n ) d x = P ( X n + m + 1 | X n + m = x ) P ( X n + m = x | X n ) d x = P ( X n + m + 1 , X n + m = x | X n ) d x = P ( X n + m + 1 | X n )
However, this is based on intuition and my experience non-measure-theoretic probability theory. I cannot justify these steps when I think of P as a measure and P ( X = x ) meaning P { X 1 ( x ) }. In fact I have had trouble finding a definition of conditional probability that is at all helpful. Most authors seem to provide the abstract definition in terms of conditional expectation with respect to σ-algebra, but I haven't found any resources that show how to work with this definition.
So my question is: how (if it all) are these steps, particularly the first two equalities justified from a measure theoretic perspective?

It does not matter what measurement problem you may start with for your pre-algebra task because the trick here is to work with equations and variables based on the situation. See helpful measurement examples that have been provided, yet make sure that you read original instructions first. It will help you to determine how to outline the problem. The majority of measurement homework that relates to calculations will also contain verbal or word-based measurement questions, which is why the use of logic and strategic thinking is always essential!